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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+3.20vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.50+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.43+5.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.60+0.80vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.16+4.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+0.35vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-1.00vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-1.14vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-3.03vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.71-5.58vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.11-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.58-0.53vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon0.32-4.21vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Georgetown University2.2018.4%1st Place
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5.2Boston College1.9712.8%1st Place
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6.45Fordham University1.507.8%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Los Angeles0.432.9%1st Place
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5.8Roger Williams University1.6010.2%1st Place
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10.2Northwestern University0.162.5%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.9%1st Place
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7.0Boston University1.146.9%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland0.905.8%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.406.4%1st Place
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5.42University of Southern California1.7112.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Virginia0.112.2%1st Place
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12.47University of California at Berkeley-0.580.8%1st Place
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9.79University of Oregon0.323.4%1st Place
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11.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 18.4% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Jack Roman | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Bray | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Max Kleha | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Colin Miedler | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 12.8% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 38.9% |
| Dylan Murphy | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.