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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.76vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.18+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.22+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.61+1.74vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04-3.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.09vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay1.69-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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3.61University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Santa Barbara0.610.0%1st Place
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2.84University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.0California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 27.7% | 22.9% | 20.1% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.5% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 26.1% | 25.7% |
| Ashley Hobson | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.6% |
| Krystal Treiberg | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 20.8% | 49.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 24.7% | 24.3% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 9.3% |
| Hanna Miller | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.