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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+5.80vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.71+3.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.43+6.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.60+1.81vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+2.05vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.16+4.22vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.91vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-3.64vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.50-2.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.59vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+0.01vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.11-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon0.32-3.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.58-1.61vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.97-9.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.407.5%1st Place
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5.5University of Southern California1.7112.6%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Los Angeles0.433.1%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University1.6010.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston University1.147.4%1st Place
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10.22Northwestern University0.162.0%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.905.2%1st Place
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4.36Georgetown University2.2017.9%1st Place
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6.45Fordham University1.507.8%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.996.5%1st Place
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11.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.8%1st Place
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10.64University of Virginia0.111.4%1st Place
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9.81University of Oregon0.323.2%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Berkeley-0.580.9%1st Place
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5.07Boston College1.9712.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Jack Roman | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Grace Bray | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Max Kleha | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.9% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 17.8% |
| Colin Miedler | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% |
| Dylan Murphy | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 38.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.