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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.88vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.56vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+1.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.61+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-4.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.18-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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5.12California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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4.22University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Santa Barbara0.610.0%1st Place
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2.91University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 28.0% | 25.5% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 9.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 16.4% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Hanna Miller | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 11.7% |
| Ashley Hobson | 10.6% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Krystal Treiberg | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 48.9% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 25.3% | 22.0% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 2.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 25.2% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.