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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.73vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay1.69+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.18+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57-2.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.61-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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5.15California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Santa Barbara0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 27.4% | 26.3% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Miller | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 11.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 26.4% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 24.1% | 26.6% |
| Ashley Hobson | 10.0% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.8% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 8.8% |
| Krystal Treiberg | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.