← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.97+3.82vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.20+2.12vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+3.39vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+2.87vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.14+1.52vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.43+2.97vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.60-1.54vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California1.71-2.74vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-1.53vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University-0.54+1.09vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-0.60vs Predicted
-
12University of Oregon-0.82+0.72vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.58-1.21vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia-0.70-1.95vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.50-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82Boston College1.9713.4%1st Place
-
4.12Georgetown University2.2018.4%1st Place
-
6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.407.3%1st Place
-
6.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.997.1%1st Place
-
6.52Boston University1.148.2%1st Place
-
8.97University of California at Los Angeles0.432.9%1st Place
-
5.46Roger Williams University1.6010.8%1st Place
-
5.26University of Southern California1.7111.1%1st Place
-
7.47St. Mary's College of Maryland0.905.5%1st Place
-
11.09Northwestern University-0.541.2%1st Place
-
10.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.1%1st Place
-
12.72University of Oregon-0.821.0%1st Place
-
11.79University of California at Berkeley-0.581.3%1st Place
-
12.05University of Virginia-0.701.2%1st Place
-
6.06Fordham University1.508.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Jack Roman | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 11.8% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 37.3% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 19.1% |
| James Unger | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 22.2% |
| Connor Bennett | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.