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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+1.78vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.08+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.18+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.19vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.61-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.82Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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3.63University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.13California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Santa Barbara0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 27.9% | 23.1% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Eliza Richartz | 25.9% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.2% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 23.7% | 26.8% |
| Ashley Hobson | 10.7% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 9.5% |
| Hanna Miller | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 12.3% |
| Krystal Treiberg | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 23.3% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.