Race 8B

2024-rose-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Bradley Whiteway 7.8% 7.4% 8.3% 8.6% 9.6% 10.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.3% 7.8% 6.7% 3.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Connor Bennett 9.1% 9.6% 10.2% 8.9% 9.9% 9.1% 8.7% 9.2% 8.5% 6.9% 5.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Jack Roman 10.3% 9.9% 9.3% 11.2% 10.4% 10.1% 9.2% 8.8% 8.0% 5.6% 3.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Joslin 15.1% 13.0% 12.3% 11.1% 10.6% 9.4% 8.9% 7.1% 4.7% 4.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 16.6% 17.8% 14.8% 11.8% 10.9% 8.4% 6.5% 5.1% 4.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed McAllister 6.3% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 7.8% 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 11.0% 9.6% 7.7% 5.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Tiare Sierra 6.8% 7.1% 6.1% 8.8% 8.2% 9.4% 10.1% 10.0% 9.2% 8.7% 6.7% 4.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Max Kleha 4.6% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 7.6% 8.2% 9.0% 9.6% 9.3% 9.6% 8.6% 7.5% 4.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Hudson Mayfield 13.8% 11.7% 12.2% 11.5% 9.2% 9.3% 9.2% 7.0% 6.1% 4.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
James Unger 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.8% 4.5% 5.1% 6.7% 12.2% 15.9% 19.5% 22.6%
Emerson Marquez 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.5% 4.4% 6.8% 7.4% 11.6% 16.3% 20.0% 17.2%
Daren Sathasivam 2.8% 3.2% 4.6% 4.3% 5.9% 5.7% 5.9% 7.0% 8.2% 10.0% 12.6% 11.2% 10.6% 5.8% 2.3%
Samuel Groom 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 2.6% 4.2% 5.8% 5.4% 8.3% 11.8% 13.2% 14.3% 13.0% 8.4%
Sadie Creemer 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 2.0% 1.2% 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 5.5% 8.8% 11.6% 20.1% 37.1%
Anna Kovacs 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 3.6% 5.5% 7.0% 11.2% 13.2% 15.7% 15.9% 11.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.