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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.16vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.61-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.83-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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3.62University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.84University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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5.11California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Santa Barbara0.610.0%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 27.7% | 25.6% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.8% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 25.7% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Hanna Miller | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 10.7% |
| Ashley Hobson | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 3.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 22.8% | 25.6% |
| Krystal Treiberg | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 20.1% | 50.8% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.