← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles0.82+4.28vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.57+0.46vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine0.90+2.23vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University1.92-0.58vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.07-1.82vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay0.50-0.11vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.93vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.68-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.28University of California at Los Angeles0.820.1%1st Place
-
2.46University of Southern California2.570.3%1st Place
-
5.23University of California at Irvine0.900.1%1st Place
-
3.42Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
-
3.18University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
-
5.89California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
5.07University of California at Berkeley1.010.1%1st Place
-
5.49University of California at Santa Barbara0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erica Parker | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 15.6% |
| Mallory Schluter | 34.5% | 24.9% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kate Andersen | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| Haley Kirk | 17.1% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 20.2% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Christina Stege | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 29.5% |
| Lauren Amery | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.5% |
| Jessica Schem | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.