← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.57+1.39vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University1.92+1.42vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine0.90+2.23vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.07-0.81vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.01vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara0.68-0.43vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.82-1.61vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.50-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.39University of Southern California2.570.4%1st Place
-
3.42Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
-
5.23University of California at Irvine0.900.1%1st Place
-
3.19University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
-
4.99University of California at Berkeley1.010.1%1st Place
-
5.57University of California at Santa Barbara0.680.0%1st Place
-
5.39University of California at Los Angeles0.820.1%1st Place
-
5.81California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 35.4% | 26.1% | 18.3% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Haley Kirk | 17.8% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Kate Andersen | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 19.3% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Amery | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 11.4% |
| Jessica Schem | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 23.3% |
| Erica Parker | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| Christina Stege | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.