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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.90+3.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.82+1.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.68+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.07-2.83vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.92-3.52vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.50-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of Southern California2.570.3%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Irvine0.900.1%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Berkeley1.010.1%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Los Angeles0.820.1%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Santa Barbara0.680.0%1st Place
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3.17University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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3.48Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
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5.83California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 34.6% | 27.3% | 17.5% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Kate Andersen | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 16.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 13.2% |
| Erica Parker | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| Jessica Schem | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 22.9% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 19.3% | 20.8% | 21.5% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Haley Kirk | 17.7% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Christina Stege | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.