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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+1.39vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.92+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.90+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.82+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.07-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.68-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.95vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.50-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Southern California2.570.4%1st Place
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3.43Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Irvine0.900.1%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Los Angeles0.820.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Santa Barbara0.680.1%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Berkeley1.010.1%1st Place
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5.82California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 35.1% | 26.8% | 18.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Haley Kirk | 17.4% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Kate Andersen | 5.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| Erica Parker | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 18.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 20.1% | 21.3% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Schem | 5.7% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 23.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 13.3% |
| Christina Stege | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.