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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+3.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.91vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.40+3.14vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+2.10vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.82+3.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31+4.22vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.83-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.77vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.00+2.23vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53+0.08vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.49-2.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-3.74vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.74-3.45vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.51-1.59vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.54-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66University of Hawaii2.4114.5%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Santa Barbara1.7810.0%1st Place
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2.88Stanford University3.1528.9%1st Place
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7.14University of Southern California1.405.7%1st Place
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7.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.626.6%1st Place
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9.21California State University Channel Islands0.823.4%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Berkeley0.311.8%1st Place
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6.04University of Washington1.838.8%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Los Angeles1.306.2%1st Place
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12.23University of California at Davis0.001.2%1st Place
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11.08San Diego State University0.532.1%1st Place
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10.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.511.7%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Irvine0.492.4%1st Place
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10.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.822.9%1st Place
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11.55Arizona State University0.741.4%1st Place
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14.41University of California at San Diego-0.510.3%1st Place
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10.36Western Washington University0.542.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 28.9% | 23.5% | 17.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Wilton Lawton | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.4% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Max Case | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
| Arin Bekem | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| George Soliman | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.9% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 42.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.