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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.92+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57-0.58vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.68+1.61vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.50+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.90-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.82-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.01-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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2.42University of Southern California2.570.3%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Santa Barbara0.680.0%1st Place
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5.9California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Irvine0.900.1%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Los Angeles0.820.1%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Berkeley1.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Kirk | 16.6% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 20.2% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 34.6% | 24.8% | 19.4% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Schem | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 23.5% |
| Christina Stege | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 20.7% | 28.2% |
| Kate Andersen | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| Erica Parker | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 18.9% |
| Lauren Amery | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.