Race 2A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carl Shorett 45.2% 26.8% 16.0% 7.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Connors 10.5% 17.2% 19.3% 19.3% 15.0% 10.9% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7%
Geoff Williams 4.1% 5.3% 6.7% 11.3% 13.7% 18.2% 19.8% 13.6% 7.3%
Sara Burke 21.1% 21.1% 21.7% 15.7% 11.7% 5.3% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Verrochi 4.3% 8.7% 10.7% 12.5% 14.9% 15.2% 16.6% 11.9% 5.2%
Bryan Schapperle 1.6% 2.3% 3.8% 4.6% 8.3% 10.6% 16.0% 27.2% 25.6%
Stan Benarick 1.1% 1.2% 2.5% 3.2% 4.0% 7.9% 12.0% 20.8% 47.3%
Keith MacArtney 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 8.9% 10.0% 15.6% 20.2% 20.3% 12.9%
John Croll 9.0% 13.4% 14.3% 17.0% 19.2% 15.2% 7.4% 3.5% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.