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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+5.03vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.96vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.82+4.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+3.39vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.83-1.99vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.00vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.74+1.73vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53+0.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.00+0.18vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.51+1.42vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-6.99vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.54-4.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine0.49-5.33vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.31-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Stanford University3.1527.6%1st Place
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7.03University of Southern California1.405.8%1st Place
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4.55University of Hawaii2.4115.3%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.788.8%1st Place
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9.3California State University Channel Islands0.823.4%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Los Angeles1.305.8%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.822.2%1st Place
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6.01University of Washington1.839.0%1st Place
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11.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.511.9%1st Place
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11.73Arizona State University0.741.8%1st Place
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11.15San Diego State University0.531.7%1st Place
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12.18University of California at Davis0.001.5%1st Place
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14.42University of California at San Diego-0.510.4%1st Place
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7.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.627.8%1st Place
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10.36Western Washington University0.542.5%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Irvine0.492.8%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Berkeley0.311.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 27.6% | 23.9% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 15.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Max Case | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.2% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 42.6% |
| Clay Myers | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Arin Bekem | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Wilton Lawton | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.