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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+5.13vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.80vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83+0.97vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.20vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.08vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.82+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+0.55vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53+0.05vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.74-0.30vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.54-2.80vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.51+0.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.31-3.87vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine0.49-5.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.00-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Stanford University3.1529.3%1st Place
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7.13University of Southern California1.405.8%1st Place
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4.69University of Hawaii2.4112.8%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.789.6%1st Place
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5.97University of Washington1.838.9%1st Place
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10.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.511.7%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Los Angeles1.305.4%1st Place
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6.92California Poly Maritime Academy1.626.7%1st Place
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9.45California State University Channel Islands0.824.0%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Santa Cruz0.822.0%1st Place
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11.05San Diego State University0.531.9%1st Place
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11.7Arizona State University0.742.2%1st Place
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10.2Western Washington University0.542.7%1st Place
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14.37University of California at San Diego-0.510.9%1st Place
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11.13University of California at Berkeley0.311.5%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Irvine0.492.7%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Davis0.001.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
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Thomas Sitzmann | 29.3% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Luke Harris | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Erik Anderson | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jonathan Seawards | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Benjamin Stone | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Max Case | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
Marianna Shand | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Clay Myers | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Sterling Maggard | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
George Soliman | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
Christopher Hopkins | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
Aidan Boylan | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% |
Nathan Gerber | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
Andrew Keller | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 42.0% |
Wilton Lawton | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% |
Arin Bekem | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.