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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+4.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.92vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+2.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.83-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.26vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.82+0.26vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.53+1.10vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.74+0.77vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.98vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.54-2.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.31-2.94vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.51-0.62vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.00-3.83vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine0.49-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Stanford University3.1529.0%1st Place
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4.56University of Hawaii2.4114.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Southern California1.406.7%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.789.2%1st Place
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7.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.625.9%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Los Angeles1.306.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Washington1.838.3%1st Place
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10.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.822.5%1st Place
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9.26California State University Channel Islands0.823.3%1st Place
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11.1San Diego State University0.531.8%1st Place
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11.77Arizona State University0.742.2%1st Place
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11.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.511.8%1st Place
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10.45Western Washington University0.542.9%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Berkeley0.312.1%1st Place
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14.38University of California at San Diego-0.510.4%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Davis0.001.7%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Irvine0.491.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 29.0% | 24.3% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 14.1% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| George Soliman | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 9.5% |
| Max Case | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 42.8% |
| Sean von Engelbrechten | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.7% |
| Arin Bekem | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.