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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.11+3.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+2.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.16+1.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.23+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.74+0.18vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93-1.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.07-2.48vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.33Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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4.23Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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4.73Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.52Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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4.12Dartmouth College3.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo McClatchy | 12.5% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% |
| Drew Shea | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 15.1% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| Rob Struckett | 14.0% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% |
| Hunter Mumma | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 20.9% |
| Gabriel Salk | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 16.1% |
| George Saunders | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.6% |
| John Renehan | 15.9% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.