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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.23+3.11vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.07+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.74+2.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16+0.34vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18-0.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05-1.49vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.11-2.54vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.93-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Yale University3.230.2%1st Place
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4.49Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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4.34Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.29Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.51Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.65Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Struckett | 15.5% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% |
| George Saunders | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 20.2% |
| Urska Kosir | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
| John Renehan | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Drew Shea | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 14.5% |
| Bo McClatchy | 13.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.