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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.07+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.74+2.15vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+0.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.93-0.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.23-1.85vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.11-2.53vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.16-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.48Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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4.32Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.81Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.15Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.47Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.18Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% |
| George Saunders | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| Hunter Mumma | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 21.3% |
| John Renehan | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 15.9% |
| Rob Struckett | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% |
| Bo McClatchy | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% |
| Urska Kosir | 15.4% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.