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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.22vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+5.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.88+10.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+4.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+2.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.80+6.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.44+9.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.47+7.88vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.86+4.73vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-1.42vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.52-0.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.87+1.59vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+2.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13+3.20vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-2.12vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.18-0.93vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.53-2.20vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-5.90vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.48-3.10vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27-11.23vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14-6.66vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-1.24-6.75vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.54-6.51vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-5.43vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.21-4.54vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-2.90-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of California at Santa Cruz1.4527.5%1st Place
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7.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.228.0%1st Place
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13.43University of California at Irvine-0.882.1%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.244.9%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.178.4%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Irvine-0.802.9%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Berkeley-1.441.2%1st Place
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15.88University of California at San Diego-1.471.7%1st Place
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13.73San Diego State University-0.862.1%1st Place
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8.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.837.0%1st Place
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10.6Arizona State University-0.524.5%1st Place
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13.59University of California at San Diego-0.872.4%1st Place
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15.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.5%1st Place
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17.2University of California at San Diego-1.131.4%1st Place
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12.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.883.1%1st Place
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15.07San Diego State University-1.181.4%1st Place
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14.8Arizona State University-1.531.9%1st Place
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12.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.863.0%1st Place
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15.9University of California at Davis-1.481.6%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Santa Cruz-0.276.0%1st Place
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14.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.141.8%1st Place
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15.25San Diego State University-1.242.1%1st Place
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16.49University of California at San Diego-1.541.4%1st Place
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18.57University of California at Los Angeles-1.981.3%1st Place
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20.46University of California at San Diego-2.210.6%1st Place
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22.4University of California at Davis-2.900.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 27.5% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Nate Powers | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Kisling | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Bennett Alger | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| James Makler | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Emilia McNabb | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Catalina Brody | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Kevin Lu | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 19.6% |
| James Carney | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.