Race 3A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carl Shorett 45.2% 26.1% 14.8% 9.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Burke 15.3% 23.3% 22.1% 15.0% 13.6% 5.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3%
John Croll 8.3% 13.4% 14.8% 16.9% 16.6% 17.0% 9.4% 2.8% 0.8%
Ian Connors 15.8% 16.1% 21.6% 17.6% 14.5% 8.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
Nicholas Verrochi 4.9% 7.7% 8.9% 14.6% 14.5% 17.0% 15.0% 12.6% 4.8%
Keith MacArtney 3.2% 3.4% 4.9% 9.1% 11.5% 14.7% 21.4% 19.7% 12.1%
Bryan Schapperle 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 4.3% 6.6% 11.8% 15.1% 27.2% 27.6%
Stan Benarick 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 4.2% 3.3% 8.2% 11.4% 20.5% 47.3%
Geoff Williams 4.2% 6.0% 7.5% 9.0% 15.8% 16.0% 19.8% 14.9% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.