← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+3.43vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.16+2.32vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.74+2.15vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.18+0.30vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.93-0.18vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.23-1.85vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.11-2.53vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.07-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.43Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
4.32Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
-
5.15University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
-
4.3Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
4.82Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
-
4.15Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
-
4.47Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
-
4.35Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% |
| Urska Kosir | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.5% |
| Hunter Mumma | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 21.5% |
| John Renehan | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 15.9% |
| Rob Struckett | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% |
| Bo McClatchy | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% |
| George Saunders | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.