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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+2.00vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+5.28vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.27+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.07+2.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.49+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.71-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.22+2.40vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.24+0.67vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.23-2.11vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.66-3.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.41+0.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.48vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.27-1.79vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.98-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Stanford University2.8927.5%1st Place
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7.28California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.0%1st Place
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6.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.457.6%1st Place
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4.03University of Hawaii2.2716.9%1st Place
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7.44University of Washington1.075.1%1st Place
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6.45University of California at Los Angeles1.496.8%1st Place
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5.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.358.6%1st Place
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5.7University of Southern California1.719.8%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Berkeley-0.221.1%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.913.4%1st Place
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11.67University of California at San Diego-0.241.2%1st Place
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9.89Western Washington University0.232.5%1st Place
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9.11Arizona State University0.662.5%1st Place
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14.35University of California at Davis-1.410.7%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Irvine-0.360.7%1st Place
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14.21San Diego State University-1.270.4%1st Place
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15.3California State University Channel Islands-1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 27.5% | 22.7% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.9% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wells | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Colin Olson | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Mccreynolds | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 25.2% | 22.6% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 5.2% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 20.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.