← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+3.46vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.74+3.17vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.11+1.41vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.93+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.16-0.67vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.07-1.54vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.23-2.76vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.18-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.46Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.17University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
-
4.41Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
-
4.79Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
-
4.33Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
-
4.46Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
-
4.24Yale University3.230.2%1st Place
-
4.13Dartmouth College3.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% |
| Hunter Mumma | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 20.3% |
| Bo McClatchy | 14.2% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% |
| Gabriel Salk | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 17.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 11.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% |
| George Saunders | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 13.1% |
| Rob Struckett | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 8.7% |
| John Renehan | 15.1% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.