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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+2.05vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.71+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.49+1.51vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.07+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-2.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.22+2.34vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.23-0.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-2.53vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.24-0.48vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.66-3.75vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.27+0.33vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.41-0.61vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.45vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.98-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Stanford University2.8927.9%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii2.2716.1%1st Place
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6.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.456.9%1st Place
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5.81University of Southern California1.718.9%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Los Angeles1.497.0%1st Place
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7.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.9%1st Place
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7.31University of Washington1.075.9%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.359.7%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Berkeley-0.221.1%1st Place
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9.98Western Washington University0.231.8%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.913.4%1st Place
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11.52University of California at San Diego-0.241.3%1st Place
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9.25Arizona State University0.662.4%1st Place
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14.33San Diego State University-1.270.6%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Davis-1.410.2%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Irvine-0.361.0%1st Place
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15.39California State University Channel Islands-1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 27.9% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.1% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wells | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Colin Olson | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Mccreynolds | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 25.2% | 21.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 24.3% | 22.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 4.9% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.