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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.44vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.11+2.41vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.93+1.78vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.74+0.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.23-1.85vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18-2.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.07-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.41Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.78Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.35Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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4.15Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.31Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.36Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
| Gabriel Salk | 11.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.3% |
| Urska Kosir | 13.0% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 21.6% |
| Rob Struckett | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| John Renehan | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 9.7% |
| George Saunders | 14.3% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.