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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.11+3.32vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+2.55vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.16+1.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.23+0.24vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.93-0.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18-1.77vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.07-2.48vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.74-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.55Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.33Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.24Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.81Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.23Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.52Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo McClatchy | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% |
| Drew Shea | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 14.8% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% |
| Rob Struckett | 13.8% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| Gabriel Salk | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 15.3% |
| John Renehan | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% |
| George Saunders | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% |
| Hunter Mumma | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.