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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.49+5.50vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.89+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+2.64vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.52vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.27-2.04vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.66+2.32vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.07-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-4.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.36vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.23-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.41+1.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.24-2.43vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.36-2.60vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.27-1.70vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.98-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5University of California at Los Angeles1.497.3%1st Place
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3.09Stanford University2.8928.6%1st Place
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5.64University of Southern California1.719.2%1st Place
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6.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.456.3%1st Place
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7.13California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.3%1st Place
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3.96University of Hawaii2.2717.5%1st Place
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9.32Arizona State University0.663.2%1st Place
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7.4University of Washington1.074.0%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.913.4%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.358.9%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Berkeley-0.221.2%1st Place
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10.03Western Washington University0.231.9%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Davis-1.410.4%1st Place
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11.57University of California at San Diego-0.241.1%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Irvine-0.360.9%1st Place
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14.3San Diego State University-1.270.3%1st Place
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15.31California State University Channel Islands-1.980.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Wells | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 28.6% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 17.5% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 23.8% | 23.4% |
| Max Mccreynolds | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 25.9% | 21.5% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.