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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.45vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+2.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.16+1.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.11+0.44vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.23-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.74-0.88vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.07-2.47vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.81Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.33Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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4.44Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.18Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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4.53Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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4.14Dartmouth College3.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% |
| Urska Kosir | 15.1% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% |
| Rob Struckett | 12.7% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Hunter Mumma | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 23.0% |
| George Saunders | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.1% |
| John Renehan | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.