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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.71+3.63vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+4.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+4.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.22+6.41vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.07+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.49-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.27-5.04vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-3.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.24+0.67vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.66-2.81vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.23-3.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36-1.48vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.41-0.50vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.27-1.80vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.98-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Stanford University2.8928.5%1st Place
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5.63University of Southern California1.719.2%1st Place
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7.11California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.8%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.913.4%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Berkeley-0.221.2%1st Place
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7.39University of Washington1.074.5%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.359.7%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Los Angeles1.496.7%1st Place
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3.96University of Hawaii2.2716.8%1st Place
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6.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.456.8%1st Place
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11.67University of California at San Diego-0.241.1%1st Place
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9.19Arizona State University0.662.1%1st Place
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9.92Western Washington University0.232.1%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Irvine-0.361.2%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Davis-1.410.2%1st Place
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14.2San Diego State University-1.270.4%1st Place
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15.42California State University Channel Islands-1.980.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 28.5% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wells | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.8% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Mccreynolds | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 5.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 24.6% | 22.6% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 25.9% | 19.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.