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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.11+3.34vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+2.57vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+1.27vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.93+0.79vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.16-0.64vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.07-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.74-1.82vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.23-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.57Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.27Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.79Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.36Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.45Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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4.03Yale University3.230.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo McClatchy | 12.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% |
| Drew Shea | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.1% |
| John Renehan | 14.9% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| Gabriel Salk | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% |
| Urska Kosir | 11.1% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% |
| George Saunders | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% |
| Hunter Mumma | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 23.2% |
| Rob Struckett | 16.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.