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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+3.45vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.93+2.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.23+1.18vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.11+0.45vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.16-0.66vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.07-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.74-1.82vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.82Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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4.18Yale University3.230.2%1st Place
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4.45Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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4.34Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.45Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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4.12Dartmouth College3.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.9% |
| Rob Struckett | 15.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
| Bo McClatchy | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| Urska Kosir | 11.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| George Saunders | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% |
| Hunter Mumma | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 23.2% |
| John Renehan | 15.3% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.