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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.12+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.58+5.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.75+3.48vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-1.03+3.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.10+2.90vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+1.33vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21+1.37vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.80+2.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.09-1.04vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.89+1.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.55-1.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.41-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.30+0.06vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.73-3.27vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.60-4.87vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.83-4.60vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.19-4.39vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95University of Hawaii0.1214.1%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Berkeley-0.587.1%1st Place
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4.0University of California at Los Angeles0.5219.6%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Santa Barbara0.2514.6%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Berkeley-0.755.1%1st Place
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9.56California Poly Maritime Academy-1.034.5%1st Place
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9.9University of California at San Diego-1.103.9%1st Place
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9.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.944.5%1st Place
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10.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.213.5%1st Place
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12.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.802.5%1st Place
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9.96University of California at San Diego-1.093.6%1st Place
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13.49Arizona State University-1.891.8%1st Place
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11.9University of California at Irvine-1.552.2%1st Place
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11.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.412.9%1st Place
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15.06University of California at Irvine-2.301.1%1st Place
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12.73Arizona State University-1.731.9%1st Place
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12.13Arizona State University-1.602.0%1st Place
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13.4University of California at San Diego-1.831.5%1st Place
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14.61University of California at Davis-2.191.5%1st Place
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13.21University of California at Los Angeles-1.822.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Fourney | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Connelly | 19.6% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JT Long | 14.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Blake Doscher | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Laurence Mach | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Schackel | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
| Luc Burkhart | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Tim Crawford | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| Mason Read | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Julia Rooney | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Anna Friess | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 21.8% |
| Alexander Ng | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Erin Welker | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Maria Guinness | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 18.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.