Race 4A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Croll 10.2% 12.4% 13.0% 18.1% 16.9% 15.6% 9.7% 3.5% 0.6%
Carl Shorett 41.8% 27.7% 16.6% 8.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 4.6% 4.7% 8.0% 9.5% 12.9% 19.5% 19.4% 14.5% 6.9%
Ian Connors 13.7% 17.9% 19.7% 20.4% 13.0% 8.7% 4.4% 2.0% 0.2%
Nicholas Verrochi 4.8% 7.6% 9.8% 12.6% 16.7% 13.6% 16.4% 12.3% 6.2%
Bryan Schapperle 2.5% 2.2% 3.6% 3.5% 8.8% 10.9% 16.6% 25.6% 26.3%
Sara Burke 18.7% 21.2% 21.5% 17.2% 11.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Keith MacArtney 2.6% 4.5% 5.2% 7.4% 11.3% 15.7% 19.5% 20.1% 13.7%
Stan Benarick 1.1% 1.8% 2.6% 3.2% 5.1% 7.7% 11.0% 21.4% 46.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.