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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.49+3.28vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.47+1.37vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.09vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.23+2.81vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.98+7.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.22+2.52vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.71-4.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.07-4.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.24-1.32vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.66-4.95vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.41-0.53vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.57vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.27-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Stanford University2.8930.2%1st Place
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3.9University of Hawaii2.2717.1%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Los Angeles1.497.1%1st Place
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6.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.456.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.476.5%1st Place
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7.09California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.3%1st Place
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9.81Western Washington University0.232.3%1st Place
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15.33California State University Channel Islands-1.980.1%1st Place
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11.52University of California at Berkeley-0.220.9%1st Place
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5.65University of Southern California1.719.6%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.913.9%1st Place
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7.42University of Washington1.075.4%1st Place
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11.68University of California at San Diego-0.241.2%1st Place
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9.05Arizona State University0.662.6%1st Place
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14.47University of California at Davis-1.410.2%1st Place
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12.43University of California at Irvine-0.361.0%1st Place
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14.15San Diego State University-1.270.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 30.2% | 21.9% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 17.1% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wells | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Yoslov | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 21.1% | 46.7% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Mccreynolds | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 23.9% | 23.8% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 4.5% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 23.5% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.