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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+3.51vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.66+6.14vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.27-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.71+0.71vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.20+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+1.68vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.07-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.49-3.56vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.24+0.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.36-0.60vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.27+0.32vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.41-0.60vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.98-0.59vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.23-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Stanford University2.8926.9%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.3510.4%1st Place
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9.14Arizona State University0.662.8%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii2.2718.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Southern California1.718.2%1st Place
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7.09California Poly Maritime Academy1.205.2%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.913.3%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.456.3%1st Place
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7.22University of Washington1.075.2%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Los Angeles1.496.5%1st Place
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11.68University of California at San Diego-0.241.1%1st Place
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11.43University of California at Berkeley-0.221.4%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Irvine-0.360.8%1st Place
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14.32San Diego State University-1.270.5%1st Place
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14.4University of California at Davis-1.410.5%1st Place
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15.41California State University Channel Islands-1.980.3%1st Place
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9.98Western Washington University0.232.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 26.9% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bastien Rasse | 18.0% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Henderson | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Wells | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Mccreynolds | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 26.2% | 20.2% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 25.4% | 22.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 48.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.