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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.72+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.70vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+2.91vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.66+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.56-0.93vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.41+4.32vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.15-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.25+2.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.59vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.31-3.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.54-4.85vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.83-1.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.84-2.26vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.00-3.01vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.40-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Stanford University2.7237.0%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.6711.8%1st Place
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6.76California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.7%1st Place
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6.91University of Southern California0.905.7%1st Place
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7.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.665.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Hawaii1.5610.2%1st Place
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11.32Arizona State University-0.411.4%1st Place
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6.15University of Washington1.157.0%1st Place
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11.85University of California at San Diego-0.581.1%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Berkeley-0.251.0%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.0%1st Place
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8.8Western Washington University0.313.8%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Los Angeles0.543.7%1st Place
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12.69San Diego State University-0.830.8%1st Place
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12.74University of California at Irvine-0.840.5%1st Place
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12.99University of California at Davis-1.000.7%1st Place
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14.19California State University Channel Islands-1.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 37.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Phibbs | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Trey Summers | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Oliver Nairn | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sanchita Pant | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.6% |
| Brayden Money | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.8% |
| Jason Yang | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 16.8% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.