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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+7.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+6.19vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+8.18vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.26+10.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+1.21vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.56+3.77vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31-0.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.59vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.36-2.55vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.19-2.64vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90+1.56vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-3.36vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-3.98vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy3.06-2.52vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.06-7.36vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.73-6.85vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-7.96vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.93-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.19Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.18Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.35Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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6.21Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.77Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.36Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.56Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.64Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.48Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| David Pierce | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 34.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Blake Burgess | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Olin Davis | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| James Simmons | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.