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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+3.88vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.72+0.55vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.90+3.71vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.56-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.54+2.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.25+5.16vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.41+3.45vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.66-1.25vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.31-0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.15-4.95vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.39vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.84-0.27vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.00-0.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-6.74vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.40-2.02vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.83-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.6711.6%1st Place
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2.55Stanford University2.7234.3%1st Place
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6.71University of Southern California0.906.7%1st Place
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6.89California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.7%1st Place
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4.99University of Hawaii1.5611.8%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Los Angeles0.544.2%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Berkeley-0.250.9%1st Place
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11.45Arizona State University-0.411.2%1st Place
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7.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.665.2%1st Place
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9.02Western Washington University0.312.6%1st Place
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6.05University of Washington1.157.7%1st Place
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11.61University of California at San Diego-0.581.3%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Irvine-0.841.1%1st Place
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13.03University of California at Davis-1.000.7%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.0%1st Place
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13.98California State University Channel Islands-1.400.5%1st Place
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12.89San Diego State University-0.830.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 34.3% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Jack Phibbs | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Nairn | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% |
| Brayden Money | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 13.7% |
| Jason Yang | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 17.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 31.7% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.