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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+11.79vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+6.48vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+4.91vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+2.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.91vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy3.06+5.79vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.73+0.95vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+2.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.19-3.70vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-2.77vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.78vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.43-7.98vs Predicted
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15Bates College2.26-0.47vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.90-3.49vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University3.26-5.95vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.56-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.48Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.79Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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7.3Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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14.53Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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12.51Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.05Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.58Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 14.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Sam Williams | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Olin Davis | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| David Pierce | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 33.4% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 13.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.