Race 5A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carl Shorett 44.1% 28.8% 14.1% 8.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
John Croll 7.4% 9.8% 17.6% 19.0% 18.1% 13.3% 9.1% 4.2% 1.5%
Sara Burke 18.7% 21.8% 21.3% 15.9% 11.7% 7.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 4.1% 5.2% 8.2% 12.3% 13.6% 18.3% 17.8% 13.0% 7.5%
Ian Connors 14.7% 20.7% 19.1% 15.1% 14.2% 8.4% 5.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Keith MacArtney 2.7% 3.8% 5.9% 8.0% 11.5% 15.8% 20.0% 18.8% 13.5%
Nicholas Verrochi 4.6% 6.0% 7.8% 12.6% 17.7% 18.0% 16.4% 12.5% 4.4%
Stan Benarick 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 3.5% 4.5% 6.9% 11.9% 21.0% 46.6%
Bryan Schapperle 2.4% 2.2% 3.4% 5.5% 5.4% 10.7% 16.6% 27.6% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.