← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.96vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+6.26vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+5.26vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.87+9.12vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University-1.18+9.26vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine-0.84+6.62vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University-0.86+6.24vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-1.04vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.53+7.09vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27-1.20vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University-1.24+3.77vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-0.52-1.83vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-0.88-0.23vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.54+1.94vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.48+0.14vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-4.46vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78+0.15vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-1.53-3.70vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.34vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-5.79vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-2.78vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-2.21-2.48vs Predicted
-
23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17-9.53vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Berkeley-1.44-8.73vs Predicted
-
25University of California at San Diego-1.47-9.97vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis-2.90-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96University of California at Santa Cruz1.4529.8%1st Place
-
8.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.247.0%1st Place
-
8.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.836.2%1st Place
-
13.12University of California at San Diego-0.872.4%1st Place
-
14.26San Diego State University-1.181.8%1st Place
-
12.62University of California at Irvine-0.842.6%1st Place
-
13.24San Diego State University-0.862.8%1st Place
-
6.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.178.5%1st Place
-
16.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.531.4%1st Place
-
8.8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.275.1%1st Place
-
14.77San Diego State University-1.242.1%1st Place
-
10.17Arizona State University-0.524.5%1st Place
-
12.77University of California at Irvine-0.882.8%1st Place
-
15.94University of California at San Diego-1.541.2%1st Place
-
15.14University of California at Davis-1.481.9%1st Place
-
11.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.863.9%1st Place
-
17.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.781.4%1st Place
-
14.3Arizona State University-1.532.0%1st Place
-
16.66University of California at San Diego-1.131.2%1st Place
-
14.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.942.5%1st Place
-
18.22University of California at Los Angeles-1.980.9%1st Place
-
19.52University of California at San Diego-2.210.8%1st Place
-
13.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.172.5%1st Place
-
15.27University of California at Berkeley-1.442.1%1st Place
-
15.03University of California at San Diego-1.472.1%1st Place
-
22.27University of California at Davis-2.900.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 29.8% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Brayden Money | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Down | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| James Makler | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Noa Brassfield | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Pike Williams | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% |
| Mira Shupe | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Dereck Phan | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Nate Powers | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| James Carney | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.