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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+7.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.73+7.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+9.94vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.74vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.36+1.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+3.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+5.26vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-1.82vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.71vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.06-2.04vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.31-4.17vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.26+2.79vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-2.17vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.19-7.04vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.90-2.69vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.56-6.21vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy3.06-5.12vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-9.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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12.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.26University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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6.18Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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14.79Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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6.96Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.31Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.79Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.88Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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8.1Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Olin Davis | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 15.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| James Simmons | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sam Williams | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.7% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Pierce | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 37.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 8.8% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.