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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+5.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+5.89vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University3.26+8.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+3.15vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy3.06+6.65vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31+0.73vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.35vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.56+1.66vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-2.88vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-1.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.84vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.73-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-0.95vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.92-5.92vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.90-2.69vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.70-6.76vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-8.07vs Predicted
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18Bates College2.26-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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11.23Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.65Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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6.12Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.26Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.08Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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12.31Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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14.4Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 16.8% |
| Olin Davis | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| James Simmons | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| David Pierce | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.