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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+11.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.30vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+4.10vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.73+4.71vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+2.94vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26+4.70vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.43-1.02vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-1.62vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.06-1.67vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96+2.15vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-3.09vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.56-2.16vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.90-1.03vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy3.06-2.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.59vs Predicted
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16Bates College2.26-1.57vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.37-6.58vs Predicted
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18Harvard University4.36-11.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.12University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.1Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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7.94Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.7Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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5.98Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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12.15Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.84Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.97Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.21Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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12.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.43Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olin Davis | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Heussler | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% |
| Colin Smith | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% |
| Blake Burgess | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 11.5% |
| David Pierce | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 34.0% |
| William Hutchings | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.