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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+8.91vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.31+4.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+3.46vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+2.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.70+4.06vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.37vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.06+0.70vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.56vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93+3.28vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81+2.90vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.19-3.65vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-3.40vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-4.40vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-3.36vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.73-6.03vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.98-7.92vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-2.35vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy3.06-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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12.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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12.9Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.35Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.6Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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8.08Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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14.65Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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11.61Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Sam Williams | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
| James Rohman | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 15.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Olin Davis | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| David Pierce | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 36.6% |
| Blake Burgess | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.