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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.07+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+2.38vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.31+3.40vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.96+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.08+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.31+2.43vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.19-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.04+2.74vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.22-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.18-3.01vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.06+0.13vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.47-3.02vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.48-0.69vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.41-2.14vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-0.68-5.13vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.96-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Washington1.0718.2%1st Place
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4.38University of Washington1.0716.5%1st Place
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6.4Western Washington University0.318.1%1st Place
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4.55University of British Columbia0.9614.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Oregon-0.086.6%1st Place
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8.43University of Washington-0.315.0%1st Place
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6.93Western Washington University0.195.9%1st Place
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10.74University of Washington-1.042.4%1st Place
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8.21Western Washington University-0.224.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Washington0.186.9%1st Place
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11.13Western Washington University-1.062.1%1st Place
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8.98Western Washington University-0.473.9%1st Place
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12.31University of Oregon-1.481.1%1st Place
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11.86Arizona State University-1.411.3%1st Place
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9.87University of Oregon-0.683.2%1st Place
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13.48Western Washington University-1.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 16.5% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kieran Lyons | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Eschbach | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% |
| Ella Barnard | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hall | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Kate Ryan | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 19.9% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| Aidan Clark | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Aliyah Dodge | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.