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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.07+3.06vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.96+2.51vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.47+6.17vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.31+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.08+2.76vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.22+2.23vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.68+2.75vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.18-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.07-4.72vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.31-1.56vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.41+1.15vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.06-1.00vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.48-0.83vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.19-7.11vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-1.04-4.09vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.96-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06University of Washington1.0719.4%1st Place
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4.51University of British Columbia0.9614.4%1st Place
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9.17Western Washington University-0.473.0%1st Place
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6.43Western Washington University0.318.2%1st Place
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7.76University of Oregon-0.085.1%1st Place
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8.23Western Washington University-0.225.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Oregon-0.682.9%1st Place
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6.88University of Washington0.186.8%1st Place
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4.28University of Washington1.0717.3%1st Place
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8.44University of Washington-0.314.3%1st Place
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12.15Arizona State University-1.411.1%1st Place
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11.0Western Washington University-1.061.9%1st Place
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12.17University of Oregon-1.481.5%1st Place
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6.89Western Washington University0.196.7%1st Place
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10.91University of Washington-1.041.5%1st Place
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13.39Western Washington University-1.960.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 19.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 14.4% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ella Barnard | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Clark | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 17.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| Peter Hall | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% |
| Kate Ryan | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 19.8% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Eschbach | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| Aliyah Dodge | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.