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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+7.99vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+4.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+3.84vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+3.60vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.29vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+6.29vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26+3.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.56+1.62vs Predicted
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9Bates College2.26+5.59vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy3.06+2.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-2.85vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.43-5.43vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-5.97vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-5.18vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.34vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.73-6.88vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-8.66vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.81-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.62Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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14.59Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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12.0Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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8.15Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.03Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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8.34Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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12.54Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| James Simmons | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| David Pierce | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 34.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% |
| Colin Smith | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 13.4% |
| Olin Davis | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| James Rohman | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.