← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.56+8.91vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University4.31+4.89vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.43+3.39vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University4.36+2.39vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.98+2.96vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.32vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University3.26+3.96vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College3.78+0.69vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College4.06-1.38vs Predicted
-
10Yale University4.19-2.53vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.70-1.69vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.02vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.81-0.40vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.93-2.02vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont3.73-6.06vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy3.06-4.15vs Predicted
-
17Bates College2.26-2.38vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University3.92-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.91Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
6.89Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
6.39Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
6.39Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
7.96Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
10.96Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
-
8.69Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
7.62Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
7.47Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
9.31Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
13.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
12.6Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
-
11.98University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.94University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.85Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
-
14.62Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
-
8.08Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 4.7% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| Sam Williams | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 14.8% |
| James Rohman | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% |
| James Simmons | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| Olin Davis | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% |
| David Pierce | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 34.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.