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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.31+5.39vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.08+5.66vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.31+4.36vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.47+3.96vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.18+1.15vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.22+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.07-3.68vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.19-1.99vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.41+2.13vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.68-1.25vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.96-7.50vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.48-0.78vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.06-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-1.04-4.19vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.96-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Western Washington University0.318.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Oregon-0.085.5%1st Place
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4.13University of Washington1.0718.6%1st Place
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8.36University of Washington-0.314.2%1st Place
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8.96Western Washington University-0.473.6%1st Place
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7.15University of Washington0.185.9%1st Place
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8.21Western Washington University-0.225.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Washington1.0716.5%1st Place
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7.01Western Washington University0.195.9%1st Place
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12.13Arizona State University-1.411.7%1st Place
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9.75University of Oregon-0.682.6%1st Place
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4.5University of British Columbia0.9615.2%1st Place
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12.22University of Oregon-1.481.2%1st Place
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10.96Western Washington University-1.062.6%1st Place
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10.81University of Washington-1.042.5%1st Place
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13.44Western Washington University-1.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 18.6% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ella Barnard | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 16.5% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| Aidan Clark | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Ryan | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| Peter Hall | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
| Ethan Eschbach | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
| Aliyah Dodge | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.