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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.34+8.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.76+5.55vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.06+3.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+1.22vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.91+6.16vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.52+2.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.25+2.46vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.75+3.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.41+4.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+1.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.40+2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.93-0.99vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.20-3.67vs Predicted
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14Brown University-0.27+2.03vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.33-5.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.43-2.60vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.55-4.27vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.80-6.39vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07-8.81vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University1.84-10.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Tufts University1.345.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University1.768.0%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University2.069.5%1st Place
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5.22Brown University2.2815.0%1st Place
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11.16Roger Williams University0.913.0%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University1.527.2%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University1.255.9%1st Place
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11.53Brown University0.753.5%1st Place
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13.27Brown University0.412.4%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.783.0%1st Place
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13.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.402.3%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island0.934.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island1.205.8%1st Place
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16.03Brown University-0.270.9%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island1.335.4%1st Place
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13.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.432.7%1st Place
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12.73University of Rhode Island0.552.9%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University0.803.5%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.075.1%1st Place
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9.86Roger Williams University1.844.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter McFarland | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| James Brock | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Pearse Dowd | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Stapleton | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Moore | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Bo Angus | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Crue Ziskind | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Peter Judge | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Max Sigel | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Dominic Ciccimaro | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 34.9% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.