Race 6A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carl Shorett 45.1% 26.6% 15.0% 8.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
John Croll 6.9% 10.8% 16.7% 18.8% 16.5% 15.8% 8.6% 4.5% 1.4%
Geoff Williams 3.2% 5.4% 7.5% 11.7% 13.1% 18.5% 17.6% 16.7% 6.3%
Keith MacArtney 2.8% 4.1% 5.6% 9.5% 10.6% 16.3% 20.5% 17.0% 13.6%
Ian Connors 15.3% 19.8% 18.7% 15.9% 15.2% 7.9% 4.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Sara Burke 18.2% 23.0% 22.1% 15.8% 12.6% 5.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Nicholas Verrochi 5.0% 5.8% 8.3% 11.5% 17.6% 18.6% 16.0% 12.7% 4.5%
Stan Benarick 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 4.1% 4.6% 7.0% 12.7% 19.7% 46.5%
Bryan Schapperle 2.2% 2.6% 3.9% 4.3% 6.4% 9.6% 17.8% 26.0% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.