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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+5.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+5.34vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.36+3.67vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+8.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+1.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.68vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+2.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.06-0.38vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.56+0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.73-0.74vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy3.06+0.90vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-3.38vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.78vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.90-1.91vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.98-7.06vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University3.26-4.95vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-2.33vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.78-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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6.29Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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12.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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11.9Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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8.62Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.09Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.05Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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14.67Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 11.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Sam Williams | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Olin Davis | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Blake Burgess | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| David Pierce | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 35.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.