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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.96+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+2.09vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.68+6.72vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.19+2.91vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.07-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.18+1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.31+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.08-0.32vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.06+2.13vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.22-1.73vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.41+1.03vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.04-1.15vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.48-0.87vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.31-7.56vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.47-5.90vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.96-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of British Columbia0.9615.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Washington1.0718.2%1st Place
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9.72University of Oregon-0.683.4%1st Place
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6.91Western Washington University0.197.4%1st Place
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4.26University of Washington1.0716.7%1st Place
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7.06University of Washington0.185.9%1st Place
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8.47University of Washington-0.314.5%1st Place
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7.68University of Oregon-0.085.2%1st Place
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11.13Western Washington University-1.061.8%1st Place
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8.27Western Washington University-0.225.3%1st Place
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12.03Arizona State University-1.411.7%1st Place
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10.85University of Washington-1.042.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Oregon-1.481.3%1st Place
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6.44Western Washington University0.317.3%1st Place
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9.1Western Washington University-0.473.5%1st Place
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13.31Western Washington University-1.960.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Fretenburg | 15.0% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 18.2% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Clark | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 16.7% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Hall | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| Ella Barnard | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| Ethan Eschbach | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
| Kate Ryan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Aliyah Dodge | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.