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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.31+7.44vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+1.07vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.19+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.96-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.08+1.61vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.47+1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.18-0.94vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.41+2.96vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.04+0.90vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.68-1.20vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.22-3.79vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.96+0.48vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.31-7.54vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.06-3.88vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-1.48-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44University of Washington-0.314.3%1st Place
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4.25University of Washington1.0717.6%1st Place
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4.07University of Washington1.0717.8%1st Place
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6.94Western Washington University0.197.1%1st Place
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4.62University of British Columbia0.9614.3%1st Place
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7.61University of Oregon-0.086.5%1st Place
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8.99Western Washington University-0.473.4%1st Place
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7.06University of Washington0.186.2%1st Place
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11.96Arizona State University-1.411.9%1st Place
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10.9University of Washington-1.041.9%1st Place
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9.8University of Oregon-0.682.5%1st Place
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8.21Western Washington University-0.224.8%1st Place
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13.48Western Washington University-1.960.7%1st Place
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6.46Western Washington University0.317.6%1st Place
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11.12Western Washington University-1.061.6%1st Place
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12.11University of Oregon-1.481.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Lyons | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 17.6% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yuri Berebitsky | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nelson Fretenburg | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| Ethan Eschbach | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 8.6% |
| Aidan Clark | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Ella Barnard | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Aliyah Dodge | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 40.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Hall | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 8.5% |
| Kate Ryan | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.