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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.04+5.73vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-0.01+4.63vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.04+3.77vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.40+4.05vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.54+3.46vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.69+3.10vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.04-0.44vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.53+0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-2.55-5.10vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.19-2.94vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.60+1.25vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.51-0.23vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.77-3.49vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.46-5.77vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.84-5.13vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-1.68-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73University of Washington-0.048.1%1st Place
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6.63Unknown School-0.019.6%1st Place
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6.77Western Washington University-0.048.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Oregon-0.405.5%1st Place
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8.46Western Washington University-0.545.0%1st Place
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9.1Arizona State University-0.694.3%1st Place
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6.56University of Washington0.049.0%1st Place
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8.64Western Washington University-0.536.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Washington-2.5521.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Washington-0.197.8%1st Place
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12.25Arizona State University-1.601.7%1st Place
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11.77Western Washington University-1.511.6%1st Place
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9.51Western Washington University-0.773.3%1st Place
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8.23University of Washington-0.464.9%1st Place
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9.87Western Washington University-0.843.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Oregon-1.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Sommer | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Liv Middleton | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Julia Grams | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Allison Sasaki | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Maya Outhred | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Claire Jablonski | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 21.1% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roy An | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Erin Welker | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 25.4% |
| Satya Fawcett | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 20.5% |
| Kerry Wier | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Kaia Armas | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack Beeson | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.