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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+5.53vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+4.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+4.34vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.78+4.67vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+5.84vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+2.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.70vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92+0.19vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.31-2.37vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+2.55vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-1.64vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.06-3.95vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.73-4.09vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.92vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.90-2.62vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy3.06-4.16vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-2.35vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.56-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.66Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.67Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.84Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.06Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.19Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.38Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.84Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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14.65Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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9.57Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Simmons | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Sam Williams | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Olin Davis | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.4% |
| Blake Burgess | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| David Pierce | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 35.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.