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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School-0.01+5.65vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.40+6.19vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.54+5.45vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.53+4.51vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.04+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.19+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.04-0.52vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.69+1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-2.55-5.02vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.46-1.75vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.77-1.55vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.04-5.23vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.60-0.81vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.84-4.38vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.68-2.68vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.51-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Unknown School-0.018.8%1st Place
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8.19University of Oregon-0.405.5%1st Place
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8.45Western Washington University-0.544.8%1st Place
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8.51Western Washington University-0.534.7%1st Place
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6.85University of Washington-0.047.5%1st Place
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7.38University of Washington-0.197.8%1st Place
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6.48University of Washington0.048.1%1st Place
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9.03Arizona State University-0.694.7%1st Place
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3.98University of Washington-2.5520.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Washington-0.465.7%1st Place
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9.45Western Washington University-0.774.2%1st Place
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6.77Western Washington University-0.047.8%1st Place
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12.19Arizona State University-1.602.1%1st Place
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9.62Western Washington University-0.844.5%1st Place
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12.32University of Oregon-1.681.9%1st Place
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11.87Western Washington University-1.512.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liv Middleton | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Claire Jablonski | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Oliver Sommer | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Roy An | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Maya Outhred | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Maxwell Miller | 20.1% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaia Armas | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Kerry Wier | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Julia Grams | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Erin Welker | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 24.9% |
| Jack Beeson | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 27.5% |
| Satya Fawcett | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.