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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+3.01vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.53+6.58vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-0.01+3.68vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.04+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.40+3.21vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.04+0.40vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.54+1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.68+4.33vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.04-2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.46-1.76vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.69-2.05vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.19-4.64vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.77-3.50vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.84-4.23vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.51-3.07vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.60-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01University of Washington-2.5519.0%1st Place
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8.58Western Washington University-0.535.7%1st Place
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6.68Unknown School-0.019.6%1st Place
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6.77University of Washington-0.049.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Oregon-0.405.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Washington0.049.6%1st Place
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8.46Western Washington University-0.545.1%1st Place
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12.33University of Oregon-1.681.8%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University-0.047.6%1st Place
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8.24University of Washington-0.465.0%1st Place
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8.95Arizona State University-0.694.8%1st Place
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7.36University of Washington-0.195.9%1st Place
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9.5Western Washington University-0.774.2%1st Place
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9.77Western Washington University-0.843.5%1st Place
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11.93Western Washington University-1.512.2%1st Place
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12.14Arizona State University-1.601.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 19.0% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Jablonski | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Liv Middleton | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Sommer | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Maya Outhred | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Allison Sasaki | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 27.2% |
| Julia Grams | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kaia Armas | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Roy An | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Kerry Wier | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Jack Beeson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Satya Fawcett | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 21.2% |
| Erin Welker | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.