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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+7.63vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.18+8.67vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.75vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+3.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+1.91vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+0.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.57vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.44+1.31vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35+0.68vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51-0.63vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84+0.87vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-1.95vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-5.84vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.25-4.12vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-8.27vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.89-4.30vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.43-3.55vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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7.75Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.05Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.7Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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13.45Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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15.95Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Whipple | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Peter Miller | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Howard | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| William Haeger | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 21.2% | 15.6% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.