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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+2.90vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-0.01+4.71vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.40+5.11vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.04+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.04+1.65vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.84+3.69vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.46+1.26vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.54+0.44vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.60+3.15vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.69-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.19-3.78vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.04-5.16vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.53-4.47vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.77-4.55vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.68-2.62vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.51-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Washington-2.5520.2%1st Place
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6.71Unknown School-0.018.5%1st Place
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8.11University of Oregon-0.405.8%1st Place
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6.58University of Washington0.049.2%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington-0.048.1%1st Place
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9.69Western Washington University-0.843.4%1st Place
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8.26University of Washington-0.465.8%1st Place
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8.44Western Washington University-0.545.2%1st Place
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12.15Arizona State University-1.601.6%1st Place
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9.13Arizona State University-0.693.7%1st Place
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7.22University of Washington-0.197.6%1st Place
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6.84Western Washington University-0.047.8%1st Place
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8.53Western Washington University-0.535.5%1st Place
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9.45Western Washington University-0.774.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Oregon-1.681.8%1st Place
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11.95Western Washington University-1.512.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 20.2% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liv Middleton | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Maya Outhred | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Sommer | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Beeson | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Kaia Armas | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Allison Sasaki | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Erin Welker | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 24.6% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Roy An | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Julia Grams | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Claire Jablonski | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Kerry Wier | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 27.5% |
| Satya Fawcett | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.