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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+5.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+3.98vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+5.44vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.18+5.14vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.44+3.19vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+4.60vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51-0.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-0.16vs Predicted
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11Bates College2.43+2.17vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-4.50vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.25-3.13vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-5.83vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.89-3.62vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.38-0.02vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-4.15vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.92-10.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.98Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.29Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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9.19Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.6Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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9.84Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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13.17Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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11.38Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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15.98Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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12.85Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.11Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Peter Miller | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| William Haeger | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 11.9% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Howard | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 54.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 12.5% |
| William Bailey | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.