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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.04+5.58vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.84+7.61vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.51+9.13vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.68+8.41vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.19+2.09vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.60+6.13vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.69+2.08vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.77+1.29vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.53-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.46-1.64vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.54-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.04-5.04vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.04-6.41vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.40-5.90vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-0.01-8.23vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-2.55-12.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Western Washington University-0.048.2%1st Place
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9.61Western Washington University-0.844.3%1st Place
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12.13Western Washington University-1.511.7%1st Place
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12.41University of Oregon-1.681.8%1st Place
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7.09University of Washington-0.197.0%1st Place
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12.13Arizona State University-1.601.4%1st Place
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9.08Arizona State University-0.693.9%1st Place
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9.29Western Washington University-0.774.0%1st Place
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8.69Western Washington University-0.535.3%1st Place
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8.36University of Washington-0.465.9%1st Place
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8.31Western Washington University-0.545.9%1st Place
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6.96University of Washington-0.047.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Washington0.048.6%1st Place
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8.1University of Oregon-0.405.5%1st Place
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6.77Unknown School-0.018.6%1st Place
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3.9University of Washington-2.5520.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Grams | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Beeson | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Satya Fawcett | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 21.6% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 28.4% |
| Roy An | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Erin Welker | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 24.6% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Kerry Wier | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Claire Jablonski | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Kaia Armas | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Allison Sasaki | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Oliver Sommer | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Maya Outhred | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Liv Middleton | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Miller | 20.8% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.