← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University-0.04+5.77vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.84+7.89vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-1.51+8.90vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-1.68+8.35vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.19+2.26vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University-1.60+6.23vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University-0.69+2.03vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.77+1.41vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.53-0.34vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-0.46-1.88vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-0.54-2.53vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington-0.04-5.32vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington0.04-6.49vs Predicted
-
14University of Oregon-0.40-5.87vs Predicted
-
15Unknown School-0.01-8.31vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington-2.55-12.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.77Western Washington University-0.048.9%1st Place
-
9.89Western Washington University-0.843.4%1st Place
-
11.9Western Washington University-1.511.9%1st Place
-
12.35University of Oregon-1.681.5%1st Place
-
7.26University of Washington-0.196.1%1st Place
-
12.23Arizona State University-1.601.6%1st Place
-
9.03Arizona State University-0.694.1%1st Place
-
9.41Western Washington University-0.773.6%1st Place
-
8.66Western Washington University-0.534.6%1st Place
-
8.12University of Washington-0.466.7%1st Place
-
8.47Western Washington University-0.545.0%1st Place
-
6.68University of Washington-0.048.0%1st Place
-
6.51University of Washington0.049.8%1st Place
-
8.13University of Oregon-0.405.2%1st Place
-
6.69Unknown School-0.018.6%1st Place
-
3.9University of Washington-2.5520.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Grams | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Beeson | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Satya Fawcett | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 21.5% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 28.0% |
| Roy An | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Erin Welker | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 24.9% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Kerry Wier | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Claire Jablonski | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Kaia Armas | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Allison Sasaki | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Oliver Sommer | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Maya Outhred | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Liv Middleton | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Miller | 20.9% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.