Race 1A

2023-triangle-tango-intercollegiate

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kenneth Buck 9.4% 12.5% 15.6% 15.2% 13.7% 13.5% 9.8% 5.5% 3.9% 0.9%
Robert Chase 38.7% 26.9% 16.0% 10.2% 4.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Jack Houseal 4.7% 6.5% 8.8% 10.9% 12.1% 14.1% 14.6% 13.5% 10.2% 4.5%
Brendan Smucker 21.9% 20.2% 19.2% 15.6% 10.5% 7.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
James Unger 4.0% 5.9% 7.3% 8.8% 12.3% 12.7% 15.5% 14.1% 13.0% 6.4%
Ian Hoogenboom 9.8% 12.2% 13.5% 15.3% 16.1% 13.7% 9.4% 6.3% 3.0% 0.6%
Benedict Gorman 2.2% 3.0% 3.9% 5.2% 6.5% 7.1% 12.5% 15.2% 20.2% 24.2%
Torin Stremlau 3.7% 4.8% 5.8% 7.4% 9.0% 10.9% 11.2% 16.6% 15.7% 14.8%
Marco Distel 4.0% 5.5% 7.2% 8.5% 10.2% 12.0% 14.4% 13.6% 15.2% 9.3%
Rylie Cataldo 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 4.8% 6.5% 8.3% 13.2% 18.4% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.