Race 2A

2023-triangle-tango-intercollegiate

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brendan Smucker 19.1% 21.9% 19.4% 16.1% 11.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Robert Chase 37.5% 25.1% 18.3% 11.1% 5.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 10.0% 12.0% 14.9% 15.0% 15.0% 13.0% 7.8% 7.1% 4.2% 0.8%
Marco Distel 4.0% 5.5% 6.3% 8.7% 9.4% 12.0% 14.5% 14.3% 14.5% 10.6%
Jack Houseal 5.8% 6.7% 8.2% 9.4% 12.7% 13.3% 14.0% 14.3% 9.3% 6.3%
James Unger 4.3% 6.5% 7.2% 9.8% 10.0% 13.1% 13.7% 14.9% 13.5% 7.0%
Rylie Cataldo 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 4.1% 4.9% 6.5% 9.5% 11.5% 19.1% 37.0%
Torin Stremlau 4.2% 3.6% 6.2% 6.5% 8.9% 12.2% 14.2% 15.1% 16.4% 12.8%
Ian Hoogenboom 10.8% 13.0% 11.9% 14.8% 14.8% 12.8% 11.5% 6.8% 3.0% 0.7%
Benedict Gorman 2.2% 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 7.0% 8.9% 10.8% 14.2% 19.7% 24.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.