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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+6.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+3.17vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.25+6.12vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+3.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+0.84vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35+1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51+0.04vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-2.31vs Predicted
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11Bates College2.43+2.36vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-1.97vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.44-3.77vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.89-2.68vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-7.77vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.18-5.43vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.84-5.09vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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13.36Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.03Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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15.99Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Howard | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| William Haeger | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| William Bailey | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 19.5% | 15.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Peter Miller | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 6.6% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 15.5% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.